Earnings volatility research
BABA · Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares each representing eight Ordinary share
No verified earnings events are stored for BABA in this environment.
No reviewed research is available for BABA yet
Coverage and research availability are separate datasets.
Until the provider verifies the next earnings date, there is nothing to evaluate. This page reports the gap rather than guessing a date.
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for BABA
Observed outcomes from 4 earnings events (Nov 25, 2025 – Aug 20, 2026). These events have already been reported. Nothing here is a live setup, a current recommendation, or a prediction.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
| Earnings date | Implied move | Realized move | Realized vs implied | IV checkpoints observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 Reported | ±6.5% | 1.3% | 0.19x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-3, T-35, T-7 |
| May 13, 2026 Reported | ±6.3% | 8.2% | 1.31x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-35, T-7 |
| Mar 19, 2026 Reported | ±5.5% | 7.1% | 1.28x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-3, T-35, T-7 |
| Nov 25, 2025 Reported | ±6.7% | 2.3% | 0.34x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-35, T-7 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
Modeled execution at the end-of-day midpoint with adverse slippage and commissions. Missing leg quotes are skipped, never imputed.
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Call Spread | 4 | 1 / 4 | -4.1% | 2.0% | -8.1% |
| Bull Put Spread | 4 | 4 / 4 | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% |
| Calendar | 4 | 3 / 4 | -13.5% | 17.6% | -75.2% |
| Iron Condor | 4 | 4 / 4 | 5.0% | 13.3% | 0.3% |
| Long Straddle | 4 | 0 / 4 | -24.3% | -13.4% | -31.8% |
| Long Strangle | 4 | 0 / 4 | -43.0% | -20.0% | -59.8% |
How to read this. HISTORICAL_RECONSTRUCTION_CURRENT_METHODOLOGY Every required entry and exit quote was available for these events. Reconstructed results are modeled execution, not proof of fills, and past behavior does not establish what this cycle will do. Record hist_BABA_8b8766cadb4444be · digest 8b8766cadb44.
- Current earnings-date knowledge; historical revisions unavailable.
- EOD midpoint plus slippage is modeled execution, not proof of fills.
- Calendar trades exit before the earliest leg expires; other structures exit before earnings.
- Missing checkpoint dates and exact-contract exit quotes are not imputed.
Research another ticker
Autocomplete lists the 500 tickers currently covered.
Covering 500 liquid U.S. tickers. Autocomplete lists supported symbols.
Why this page exists without numbers
A supported ticker with a verified earnings date should never return a blank page. This state shows the calendar facts that exist while making clear that no reviewed volatility research has been published yet.