Past events
Historical earnings reconstruction
Observed outcomes from earnings that have already been reported. Every row is reconstructed from observed end-of-day quotes after the fact — nothing here is a live setup, a current recommendation, or a prediction.
8 covered tickers · 28 reconstructed events. Reconstructions use the current methodology against observed past quotes; the entry and exit rules do not change retroactively.
| Ticker | Events | Range | Average realized move | Median implied move | Strategy runs | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AA | 1 | Jul 16, 2026 | 6.1% | ±7.4% | 6 | Open AA |
 AAP | 3 | Feb 13, 26 – Aug 20, 2026 | 13.3% | ±12.8% | 12 | Open AAP |
 AAPL | 4 | Oct 30, 25 – Jul 30, 2026 | 2.9% | ±3.9% | 24 | Open AAPL |
 ABBV | 4 | Oct 31, 25 – Jul 31, 2026 | 3.5% | ±4.6% | 24 | Open ABBV |
 AMD | 4 | Nov 4, 25 – Aug 4, 2026 | 11.4% | ±8.7% | 24 | Open AMD |
 JPM | 4 | Oct 14, 25 – Jul 14, 2026 | 2.4% | ±3.6% | 18 | Open JPM |
 MSFT | 4 | Oct 29, 25 – Jul 29, 2026 | 8.1% | ±7.2% | 24 | Open MSFT |
 NVDA | 4 | Nov 19, 25 – Aug 26, 2026 | 4.8% | ±6.1% | 24 | Open NVDA |
Why this is labelled historical
The live research feed only ever describes an earnings event that has not started. Reconstructed outcomes must never be presented as a current setup, so they live on their own surface with the event dates they describe, the gaps that were not imputed, and the modeled-fill assumptions attached.