Earnings volatility research
BILI · Bilibili Inc.
No verified earnings events are stored for BILI in this environment.
No reviewed research is available for BILI yet
Coverage and research availability are separate datasets.
Until the provider verifies the next earnings date, there is nothing to evaluate. This page reports the gap rather than guessing a date.
Past events · reconstructed
Historical reconstruction for BILI
Observed outcomes from 4 earnings events (Nov 13, 2025 – Aug 27, 2026). These events have already been reported. Nothing here is a live setup, a current recommendation, or a prediction.
Realized move versus what was implied
Implied move is the pre-event ATM straddle estimate; realized move is the observed post-earnings move.
| Earnings date | Implied move | Realized move | Realized vs implied | IV checkpoints observed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 Reported | ±13.0% | 3.8% | 0.29x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-3, T-35, T-7 |
| May 19, 2026 Reported | ±8.6% | 1.9% | 0.22x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-35, T-7 |
| Mar 5, 2026 Reported | ±7.5% | 7.1% | 0.94x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-3, T-35, T-7 |
| Nov 13, 2025 Reported | ±8.9% | 4.8% | 0.54x | T+1, T-1, T-14, T-21, T-28, T-3, T-35, T-7 |
Exact-contract strategy reconstruction
Modeled execution at the end-of-day midpoint with adverse slippage and commissions. Missing leg quotes are skipped, never imputed.
| Structure | Reconstructed runs | Profitable | Average return on max loss | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull Put Spread | 4 | 0 / 4 | -48.9% | -37.4% | -59.9% |
| Long Straddle | 4 | 1 / 4 | -14.7% | 25.7% | -49.0% |
| Bear Call Spread | 3 | 2 / 3 | 2.6% | 14.9% | -9.4% |
| Calendar | 3 | 0 / 3 | -64.8% | -38.5% | -96.0% |
| Iron Condor | 3 | 0 / 3 | -38.9% | -15.0% | -66.5% |
| Long Strangle | 3 | 0 / 3 | -43.4% | -19.1% | -74.9% |
How to read this. HISTORICAL_RECONSTRUCTION_CURRENT_METHODOLOGY 4 required quotes were unavailable and were left as gaps, so the sample is smaller than the number of earnings events. Reconstructed results are modeled execution, not proof of fills, and past behavior does not establish what this cycle will do. Record hist_BILI_ad563f1e79455920 · digest ad563f1e7945.
- Current earnings-date knowledge; historical revisions unavailable.
- EOD midpoint plus slippage is modeled execution, not proof of fills.
- Calendar trades exit before the earliest leg expires; other structures exit before earnings.
- Missing checkpoint dates and exact-contract exit quotes are not imputed.
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Why this page exists without numbers
A supported ticker with a verified earnings date should never return a blank page. This state shows the calendar facts that exist while making clear that no reviewed volatility research has been published yet.