Concept guide
Options Delta
Delta estimates how much an option's price changes for a one-dollar move in the underlying, and is often used as a rough probability proxy.
Formula
delta is approximately the change in option price divided by the change in underlying price
What delta measures
Delta is the rate of change of an option's price with respect to the underlying. Calls have positive delta and puts have negative delta.
It also approximates the option's equivalent share exposure, which is why traders talk about a position being 50 deltas.
Why it is not a true probability
Delta rises toward 1 for deep in-the-money calls and toward 0 far out of the money, but its relationship to the chance of expiring in the money is approximate and changes with volatility and time.
- At short expirations delta can change very quickly.
- High implied volatility spreads delta across strikes.
- The probability proxy ignores drift and the shape of the distribution.
FAQ
- Is delta the probability of expiring in the money?
- It is often used as a rough proxy, but the relationship is not exact and changes with volatility and time.
- Can delta exceed 1?
- For most single options delta stays between 0 and 1 for calls and -1 and 0 for puts; deep in-the-money options approach the boundary.
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