BABA · Expected-Move

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares each representing eight Ordinary share (BABA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$100.24

Expected move: $9.83
Expected move %: 9.8%
Lower boundary: $90.42
Upper boundary: $110.07
Median historical move: 6.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-16: Realized move: 9.142% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 9.142% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
9.142%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.142% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.8673%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.8673% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.0165%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.0165% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.0882%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.0882% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.197%	5.9009%	Signed actual 2.197% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.0928%	6.638%	Signed actual 8.0928% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.5718%	5.9493%	Signed actual 7.5718% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.9046%	5.7707%	Signed actual 12.9046% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3144%	6.7193%	Signed actual 2.3144% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.0891%	5.5233%	Signed actual 7.0891% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.1837%	6.2695%	Signed actual 8.1837% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2645%	6.5167%	Signed actual 1.2645% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.