BP · Expected-Move

BP p.l.c. Common Stock (BP) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$48.93

Expected move: $1.87
Expected move %: 3.8%
Lower boundary: $47.07
Upper boundary: $50.80
Median historical move: 3.7%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

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2023-10-31: Realized move: 4.6153% Implied move: 4.9674% Signed actual 4.6153% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.6153%	4.9674%	Signed actual 4.6153% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.279%	4.0742%	Signed actual 6.279% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.7398%	3.7398%	Signed actual 3.7398% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4288%	4.0904%	Signed actual 0.4288% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.4427%	3.9775%	Signed actual 5.4427% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.3775%	3.6607%	Signed actual 0.3775% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.6387%	4.4113%	Signed actual 3.6387% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4166%	4.0782%	Signed actual 3.4166% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7171%	3.9002%	Signed actual 0.7171% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7368%	4.0796%	Signed actual 5.7368% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.8265%	3.9374%	Signed actual 0.8265% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.1122%	4.225%	Signed actual 4.1122% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.