CF · Expected-Move

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (CF) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$119.92

Expected move: $8.70
Expected move %: 7.3%
Lower boundary: $111.22
Upper boundary: $128.62
Median historical move: 2.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-01: Realized move: 1.3374% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 1.3374% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.3374%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.3374% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.0054%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.0054% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2585%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2585% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.4993%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.4993% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5503%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5503% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.2358%	4.9267%	Signed actual 4.2358% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7807%	5.7026%	Signed actual 0.7807% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.7976%	4.7455%	Signed actual 7.7976% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.2328%	5.7067%	Signed actual 4.2328% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.7988%	6.7438%	Signed actual 3.7988% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9018%	6.8729%	Signed actual 0.9018% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.0171%	5.7573%	Signed actual 0.0171% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.