DUOL · Expected-Move

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$135.21

Expected move: $17.85
Expected move %: 13.2%
Lower boundary: $117.36
Upper boundary: $153.06
Median historical move: 22.2%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2024-02-28: Realized move: 22.2444% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 22.2444% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
22.2444%	Unavailable	Signed actual 22.2444% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
25.4903%	Unavailable	Signed actual 25.4903% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.4147%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.4147% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.