ETSY · Expected-Move

Etsy, Inc. Common Stock (ETSY) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$85.43

Expected move: $8.73
Expected move %: 10.2%
Lower boundary: $76.71
Upper boundary: $94.16
Median historical move: 7.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

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2023-11-01: Realized move: 1.5991% Implied move: 11.7978% Signed actual 1.5991% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.5991%	11.7978%	Signed actual 1.5991% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.4403%	10.4784%	Signed actual 8.4403% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.0559%	10.9946%	Signed actual 15.0559% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.6451%	12.2443%	Signed actual 7.6451% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.189%	11.1415%	Signed actual 7.189% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.0541%	12.0876%	Signed actual 10.0541% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7446%	11.034%	Signed actual 5.7446% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7861%	13.0597%	Signed actual 2.7861% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.7975%	11.2664%	Signed actual 12.7975% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.2849%	11.1351%	Signed actual 9.2849% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.1929%	12.4378%	Signed actual 4.1929% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.