NFLX · Expected-Move

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$70.30

Expected move: $6.73
Expected move %: 9.6%
Lower boundary: $63.58
Upper boundary: $77.03
Median historical move: 8.5%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveCurrent implied move versus 3 paired historical observations. Actual movement exceeded the stored implied move in 2 of 3 paired events.

Actual absolute move Implied move at the checkpoint1 event(s) have no implied observation — shown as an empty slot

Show the underlying values

Historical earnings moves
Event	Actual absolute	Implied	Actual exceeded implied
2025-10-21	10.1%	7.3%	Yes
2026-01-20	2.2%	Not observed	Unpaired
2026-04-16	9.7%	7.2%	Yes
2026-07-16	7.3%	9.0%	No

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Sep 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.