NVDA · Expected-Move

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$217.94

Expected move: $19.00
Expected move %: 8.7%
Lower boundary: $198.94
Upper boundary: $236.94
Median historical move: 4.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

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2023-11-21: Realized move: 2.4589% Implied move: 7.5036% Signed actual 2.4589% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
2.4589%	7.5036%	Signed actual 2.4589% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
16.4009%	10.8564%	Signed actual 16.4009% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.3197%	8.2376%	Signed actual 9.3197% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3848%	10.6781%	Signed actual 6.3848% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5346%	8.1967%	Signed actual 0.5346% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.4781%	10.6807%	Signed actual 8.4781% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.249%	6.9373%	Signed actual 3.249% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7874%	6.4642%	Signed actual 0.7874% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.1525%	7.7195%	Signed actual 3.1525% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.4561%	6.0799%	Signed actual 5.4561% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.7721%	6.1194%	Signed actual 1.7721% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.7379%	5.9141%	Signed actual 8.7379% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.