SMTC · Expected-Move

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$144.35

Expected move: $25.70
Expected move %: 17.8%
Lower boundary: $118.65
Upper boundary: $170.05
Median historical move: 6.8%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-12-06: Realized move: 16.2874% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 16.2874% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
16.2874%	Unavailable	Signed actual 16.2874% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.8389%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.8389% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.8097%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.8097% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.1897%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.1897% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
18.0951%	Unavailable	Signed actual 18.0951% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.444%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.444% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.5642%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5642% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.1373%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.1373% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.5282%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.5282% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.4144%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.4144% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.4141%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.4141% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.