TGT · Expected-Move

Target Corporation Common Stock (TGT) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$148.01

Expected move: $13.93
Expected move %: 9.4%
Lower boundary: $134.09
Upper boundary: $161.94
Median historical move: 6.5%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-15: Realized move: 17.7543% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 17.7543% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
17.7543%	Unavailable	Signed actual 17.7543% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.0207%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.0207% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.0305%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.0305% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.2004%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.2004% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
21.4101%	Unavailable	Signed actual 21.4101% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.9977%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.9977% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2079%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2079% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3307%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.3307% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7674%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7674% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.7421%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.7421% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.8588%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.8588% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.276%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.276% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.