TOST · Expected-Move

Toast, Inc. Class A Common Stock (TOST) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$31.94

Expected move: $3.47
Expected move %: 10.9%
Lower boundary: $28.47
Upper boundary: $35.41
Median historical move: 10.5%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-07: Realized move: 13.6812% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 13.6812% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
13.6812%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.6812% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
16.7708%	Unavailable	Signed actual 16.7708% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.0215%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.0215% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.1182%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.1182% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.723%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.723% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7004%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.7004% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.4325%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.4325% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.7099%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.7099% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.4837%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.4837% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.5524%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5524% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.7379%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.7379% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.9281%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.9281% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 28, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.