AAOI · Expected-Move

Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$122.54

Expected move: $28.95
Expected move %: 23.6%
Lower boundary: $93.59
Upper boundary: $151.49
Median historical move: 4.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-09Realized move 4.0471%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 4.0471% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.0471%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0471% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
30.4668%	Unavailable	Signed actual 30.4668% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.0361%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.0361% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7613%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.7613% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
55.0838%	22.3627%	Signed actual 55.0838% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.622%	10.794%	Signed actual 0.622% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6098%	19.4921%	Signed actual 0.6098% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.3139%	17.4344%	Signed actual 3.3139% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.8213%	15.3919%	Signed actual 1.8213% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.4649%	19.4074%	Signed actual 5.4649% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.1853%	17.1515%	Signed actual 9.1853% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.