AAP · Expected-Move
Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) expected move
The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.
- Expected move
- Unavailable
- Expected move %
- Unavailable
- Lower boundary
- Unavailable
- Upper boundary
- Unavailable
- Median historical move
- 5.1%
- Method
- ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2010-02-17: Realized move: 6.3666% Implied move: 6.8614% Signed actual 6.3666% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.3666% | 6.8614% | Signed actual 6.3666% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.2921% | 5.7377% | Signed actual 6.2921% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.2207% | 6.2677% | Signed actual 5.2207% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.5694% | 5.7567% | Signed actual 0.5694% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.1363% | 5.3929% | Signed actual 1.1363% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 10.1473% | 5.1635% | Signed actual 10.1473% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.3631% | 6.99% | Signed actual 8.3631% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.7312% | 6.3525% | Signed actual 4.7312% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.1865% | 4.7544% | Signed actual 8.1865% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 16.9672% | 7.43% | Signed actual 16.9672% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.7551% | 8.1125% | Signed actual 3.7551% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.4514% | 5.4539% | Signed actual 0.4514% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.8162% | 6.5844% | Signed actual 5.8162% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.0047% | 6.4103% | Signed actual 2.0047% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.7778% | 7.4736% | Signed actual 0.7778% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.8201% | 5.175% | Signed actual 0.8201% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 12.7404% | 6.9074% | Signed actual 12.7404% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.8852% | 4.8319% | Signed actual 0.8852% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.0446% | 5.2672% | Signed actual 7.0446% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.5507% | 5.8914% | Signed actual 2.5507% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.7553% | 6.3428% | Signed actual 6.7553% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.07% | 7.0047% | Signed actual 5.07% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.1802% | 6.1628% | Signed actual 9.1802% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 15.4261% | 5.9074% | Signed actual 15.4261% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.1154% | 10.1032% | Signed actual 0.1154% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.1878% | 7.0579% | Signed actual 0.1878% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.3872% | 5.7523% | Signed actual 4.3872% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 14.9965% | Unavailable | Signed actual 14.9965% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.2662% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.2662% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.4315% | 7.8558% | Signed actual 5.4315% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 20.3439% | 9.5134% | Signed actual 20.3439% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 16.3345% | 10.5129% | Signed actual 16.3345% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.2107% | 11.9601% | Signed actual 8.2107% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.206% | 10.0713% | Signed actual 3.206% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.7948% | 9.4242% | Signed actual 7.7948% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 10.5711% | 8.6496% | Signed actual 10.5711% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.6766% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.6766% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.0937% | 9.2374% | Signed actual 3.0937% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.0493% | 7.7026% | Signed actual 0.0493% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.5109% | 7.434% | Signed actual 7.5109% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.1532% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.1532% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.5924% | 13.4238% | Signed actual 3.5924% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.2527% | 7.8882% | Signed actual 1.2527% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.7725% | 7.821% | Signed actual 0.7725% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7669% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.7669% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7056% | 6.319% | Signed actual 1.7056% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.0048% | 6.8345% | Signed actual 0.0048% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.5712% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2.5712% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.7491% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.7491% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.6427% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.6427% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.6157% | 8.4895% | Signed actual 9.6157% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 15.0593% | 6.4751% | Signed actual 15.0593% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.079% | 8.4975% | Signed actual 3.079% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 35.0357% | 7.9323% | Signed actual 35.0357% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.1184% | 13.5878% | Signed actual 3.1184% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.6748% | 12.4144% | Signed actual 4.6748% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.5791% | 15.9459% | Signed actual 2.5791% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 10.9717% | 12.0405% | Signed actual 10.9717% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.4742% | 12.4758% | Signed actual 17.4742% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.6351% | 15.8158% | Signed actual 0.6351% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.8291% | 14.1129% | Signed actual 17.8291% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 57.0424% | 12.4561% | Signed actual 57.0424% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.0246% | 11.7295% | Signed actual 8.0246% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.0357% | 12.6066% | Signed actual 8.0357% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.082% | 14.1274% | Signed actual 1.082% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 14.4029% | 11.612% | Signed actual 14.4029% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 24.5461% | 12.371% | Signed actual 24.5461% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable |
Next steps
Data provenance
Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.