AAPL · Expected-Move

Apple Inc. (AAPL) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$336.67

Expected move: $15.68
Expected move %: 4.7%
Lower boundary: $321.00
Upper boundary: $352.35
Median historical move: 1.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-02Realized move 0.5181%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 0.5181% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
0.5181%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5181% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5405%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5405% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.9816%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.9816% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6869%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6869% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.328%	3.7701%	Signed actual 1.328% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6692%	4.3554%	Signed actual 0.6692% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.7361%	4.6118%	Signed actual 3.7361% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.5003%	4.1736%	Signed actual 2.5003% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.3795%	3.6707%	Signed actual 0.3795% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4646%	3.9385%	Signed actual 0.4646% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.2394%	3.8679%	Signed actual 3.2394% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.3539%	3.6%	Signed actual 7.3539% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.