ABNB · Expected-Move
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) expected move
The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.
- Expected move
- $12.75
- Expected move %
- 7.7%
- Lower boundary
- $153.70
- Upper boundary
- $179.20
- Median historical move
- 6.2%
- Method
- ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2021-02-26: Realized move: 4.8122% Implied move: 9.6946% Signed actual 4.8122% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.8122% | 9.6946% | Signed actual 4.8122% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.1615% | 9.337% | Signed actual 6.1615% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.0652% | 6.0408% | Signed actual 1.0652% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 12.984% | 6.6235% | Signed actual 12.984% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.6486% | 9.519% | Signed actual 3.6486% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.7103% | 10.4562% | Signed actual 7.7103% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.1346% | 9.4649% | Signed actual 1.1346% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 13.425% | 10.8502% | Signed actual 13.425% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 13.3532% | 9.1909% | Signed actual 13.3532% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 10.9231% | 8.6351% | Signed actual 10.9231% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.504% | 7.9552% | Signed actual 0.504% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.323% | 8.5383% | Signed actual 3.323% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7372% | 8.5988% | Signed actual 1.7372% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.8714% | 7.8218% | Signed actual 6.8714% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 13.3824% | 9.696% | Signed actual 13.3824% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.6585% | 8.5161% | Signed actual 8.6585% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 14.4498% | 8.3796% | Signed actual 14.4498% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.008% | 8.3046% | Signed actual 1.008% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.023% | 7.7139% | Signed actual 8.023% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.2904% | 8% | Signed actual 0.2904% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.6482% | 7.9883% | Signed actual 4.6482% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.7333% | 7.5958% | Signed actual 0.7333% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.4294% | 7.0824% | Signed actual 17.4294% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable |
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Data provenance
Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.