AMAT · Expected-Move

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$421.66

Expected move: $43.08
Expected move %: 10.2%
Lower boundary: $378.59
Upper boundary: $464.74
Median historical move: 5.2%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-16: Realized move: 4.0178% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 4.0178% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.0178%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0178% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3466%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.3466% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9111%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.9111% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.8552%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.8552% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.2043%	5.8264%	Signed actual 9.2043% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.1782%	5.8185%	Signed actual 8.1782% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2532%	5.5415%	Signed actual 5.2532% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.0672%	5.5123%	Signed actual 14.0672% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2453%	5.5801%	Signed actual 1.2453% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.0758%	6.6273%	Signed actual 8.0758% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.8943%	7.7873%	Signed actual 0.8943% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.1184%	7.3338%	Signed actual 5.1184% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.