AMZN · Expected-Move

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$259.92

Expected move: $21.35
Expected move %: 8.2%
Lower boundary: $238.57
Upper boundary: $281.27
Median historical move: 6.5%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-26Realized move 6.8328%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.8328% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.8328%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.8328% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.8666%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.8666% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2857%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.2857% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.7847%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.7847% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.1856%	6.6025%	Signed actual 6.1856% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.1263%	6.743%	Signed actual 1.1263% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1157%	6.7916%	Signed actual 0.1157% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.2696%	5.452%	Signed actual 8.2696% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.5845%	6.7629%	Signed actual 9.5845% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.5548%	8.627%	Signed actual 5.5548% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7679%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.7679% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.3206%	7.0263%	Signed actual 15.3206% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.