Options WhaleEarnings volatility research

APA · Expected-Move

APA Corporation (APA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$44.10
Expected move
$4.83
Expected move %
10.9%
Lower boundary
$39.28
Upper boundary
$48.93
Median historical move
3.9%
Method
ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-01Realized move 0.202%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 0.202% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
ObservationRealized move (%)Implied move (%)ContextUpdated
0.202%UnavailableSigned actual 0.202% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
3.8804%UnavailableSigned actual 3.8804% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
4.3281%UnavailableSigned actual 4.3281% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
0.5156%UnavailableSigned actual 0.5156% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
11.3222%UnavailableSigned actual 11.3222% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
1.6536%UnavailableSigned actual 1.6536% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
1.8729%UnavailableSigned actual 1.8729% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
2.8513%UnavailableSigned actual 2.8513% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
9.1413%UnavailableSigned actual 9.1413% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
4.526%UnavailableSigned actual 4.526% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
5.3953%UnavailableSigned actual 5.3953% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.