Options WhaleEarnings volatility research

APP · Expected-Move

Applovin Corporation (APP) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$278.78
Expected move
$44.75
Expected move %
16.1%
Lower boundary
$234.03
Upper boundary
$323.53
Median historical move
14.3%
Method
ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-08Realized move 1.0967%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.0967% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
ObservationRealized move (%)Implied move (%)ContextUpdated
1.0967%UnavailableSigned actual 1.0967% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
24.8133%UnavailableSigned actual 24.8133% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
14.4459%UnavailableSigned actual 14.4459% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
14.1985%UnavailableSigned actual 14.1985% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
46.2652%UnavailableSigned actual 46.2652% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
24.0192%UnavailableSigned actual 24.0192% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
11.8797%UnavailableSigned actual 11.8797% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
11.9748%UnavailableSigned actual 11.9748% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
0.6985%UnavailableSigned actual 0.6985% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
19.68%UnavailableSigned actual 19.68% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
6.4074%UnavailableSigned actual 6.4074% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable
19.6577%UnavailableSigned actual 19.6577% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.