ARM · Expected-Move

Arm Holdings plc (ARM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$294.37

Expected move: $49.75
Expected move %: 16.9%
Lower boundary: $244.62
Upper boundary: $344.12
Median historical move: 5.9%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-09Realized move 1.3377%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.3377% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.3377%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.3377% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
47.8899%	Unavailable	Signed actual 47.8899% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3381%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.3381% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.7176%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.7176% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.1042%	11.2835%	Signed actual 2.1042% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.3418%	10.4963%	Signed actual 3.3418% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.176%	10.2091%	Signed actual 6.176% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.4395%	9.803%	Signed actual 13.4395% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2111%	10.499%	Signed actual 1.2111% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7007%	9.4213%	Signed actual 5.7007% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.6277%	11.3156%	Signed actual 13.6277% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.4036%	12.9117%	Signed actual 7.4036% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.