AXP · Expected-Move

American Express Company Common Stock (AXP) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$304.25

Expected move: $16.68
Expected move %: 5.5%
Lower boundary: $287.58
Upper boundary: $320.93
Median historical move: 3.7%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-20Realized move 5.3803%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 5.3803% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
5.3803%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.3803% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.1037%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.1037% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.2253%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.2253% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7368%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7368% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.1458%	4.9076%	Signed actual 3.1458% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.3901%	4.0814%	Signed actual 1.3901% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6366%	4.6556%	Signed actual 0.6366% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3466%	3.6388%	Signed actual 2.3466% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.2728%	3.9769%	Signed actual 7.2728% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.7657%	4.6444%	Signed actual 1.7657% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.3106%	3.7549%	Signed actual 4.3106% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.3041%	3.5721%	Signed actual 4.3041% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.