AXTI · Expected-Move

AXT Inc (AXTI) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$84.06

Expected move: $21.20
Expected move %: 25.2%
Lower boundary: $62.86
Upper boundary: $105.26
Median historical move: 18.3%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 9.7561%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 9.7561% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
9.7561%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.7561% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
69.2982%	Unavailable	Signed actual 69.2982% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
20.7921%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.7921% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
18.541%	Unavailable	Signed actual 18.541% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
18.0583%	Unavailable	Signed actual 18.0583% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2179%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2179% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.963%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.963% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.6923%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.6923% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.6066%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.6066% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
24.6535%	Unavailable	Signed actual 24.6535% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
21.1815%	Unavailable	Signed actual 21.1815% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
28.7388%	Unavailable	Signed actual 28.7388% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.