BILI · Expected-Move

Bilibili Inc. (BILI) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$12.87

Expected move: $1.41
Expected move %: 10.9%
Lower boundary: $11.47
Upper boundary: $14.28
Median historical move: 7.1%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-29: Realized move: 11.0945% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 11.0945% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
11.0945%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.0945% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.9426%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.9426% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.3724%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.3724% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.5606%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.5606% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.5999%	11.4245%	Signed actual 12.5999% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.7555%	11.1658%	Signed actual 8.7555% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.8894%	9.2273%	Signed actual 0.8894% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.1055%	9.5041%	Signed actual 6.1055% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.7812%	8.9003%	Signed actual 4.7812% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.0909%	7.5273%	Signed actual 7.0909% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.808%	13.0031%	Signed actual 3.808% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.