BTG · Expected-Move

B2Gold Corp Common shares (Canada) (BTG) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$4.99

Expected move: $0.35
Expected move %: 7.0%
Lower boundary: $4.64
Upper boundary: $5.34
Median historical move: 5.2%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-08: Realized move: 1.9358% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 1.9358% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.9358%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.9358% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7758%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7758% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.1508%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.1508% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.5099%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.5099% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0858%	17.5305%	Signed actual 4.0858% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.6416%	5.7034%	Signed actual 5.6416% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2642%	11.7925%	Signed actual 2.2642% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.5274%	7.3138%	Signed actual 6.5274% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7056%	6.25%	Signed actual 5.7056% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.8331%	8.0952%	Signed actual 4.8331% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.4917%	6.1384%	Signed actual 10.4917% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
22.9829%	9.7561%	Signed actual 22.9829% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.