CAT · Expected-Move

Caterpillar, Inc. Common Stock (CAT) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$813.83

Expected move: $82.45
Expected move %: 10.1%
Lower boundary: $731.38
Upper boundary: $896.28
Median historical move: 3.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-31Realized move 6.6526%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.6526% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.6526%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.6526% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.0026%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.0026% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.0429%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.0429% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.1341%	5.1095%	Signed actual 2.1341% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.641%	4.2024%	Signed actual 4.641% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6083%	5.1805%	Signed actual 0.6083% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1222%	4.3751%	Signed actual 0.1222% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.6346%	5.2243%	Signed actual 11.6346% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4138%	5.7129%	Signed actual 3.4138% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.8833%	5.3978%	Signed actual 9.8833% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.6034%	7.4907%	Signed actual 5.6034% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.