CIFR · Expected-Move

Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$8.10

Expected move: $1.46
Expected move %: 18.0%
Lower boundary: $6.65
Upper boundary: $9.56
Median historical move: 7.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-08: Realized move: 7.2727% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 7.2727% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
7.2727%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.2727% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6969%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6969% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.2125%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.2125% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2545%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2545% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.6288%	13.2576%	Signed actual 6.6288% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.6373%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.6373% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.0134%	12.5839%	Signed actual 2.0134% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.5259%	8.3493%	Signed actual 6.5259% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
22.0375%	Unavailable	Signed actual 22.0375% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.4836%	14.8489%	Signed actual 12.4836% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
23.5327%	12.8843%	Signed actual 23.5327% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.6457%	15.9768%	Signed actual 15.6457% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.