COF · Expected-Move

Capital One Financial Corporation Common Stock (COF) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$195.91

Expected move: $13.40
Expected move %: 6.8%
Lower boundary: $182.51
Upper boundary: $209.31
Median historical move: 3.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-26Realized move 9.1944%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 9.1944% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
9.1944%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.1944% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.6548%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.6548% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1644%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1644% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6255%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6255% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2265%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2265% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.9956%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.9956% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.678%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.678% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9383%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.9383% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.5342%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.5342% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.5595%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.5595% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.516%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.516% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3567%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.3567% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.