COP · Expected-Move

ConocoPhillips Common Stock (COP) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$129.84

Expected move: Unavailable
Expected move %: Unavailable
Lower boundary: Unavailable
Upper boundary: Unavailable
Median historical move: 1.8%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 4.5856%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 4.5856% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.5856%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5856% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.4067%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.4067% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.6809%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.6809% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.527%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.527% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3701%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.3701% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2695%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2695% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2656%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.2656% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5477%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5477% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.3261%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.3261% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.4259%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.4259% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.9259%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.9259% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.4951%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.4951% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.