CRCL · Expected-Move

Circle Internet Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock (CRCL) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$80.84

Expected move: $14.40
Expected move %: 17.8%
Lower boundary: $66.44
Upper boundary: $95.24
Median historical move: 12.2%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2025-08-12Realized move 1.2657%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.2657% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.2657%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.2657% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.2075%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.2075% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
35.4734%	Unavailable	Signed actual 35.4734% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.9145%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.9145% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.0474%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.0474% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.