CVNA · Expected-Move

Carvana Co. Class A Common Stock (CVNA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$62.76

Expected move: $9.98
Expected move %: 15.9%
Lower boundary: $52.79
Upper boundary: $72.74
Median historical move: 10.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-02Realized move 7.8877%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 7.8877% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
7.8877%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.8877% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
32.0931%	Unavailable	Signed actual 32.0931% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
33.7697%	Unavailable	Signed actual 33.7697% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.9752%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.9752% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
19.2948%	Unavailable	Signed actual 19.2948% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.8579%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.8579% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1391%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1391% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
16.9609%	Unavailable	Signed actual 16.9609% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.8099%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.8099% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1992%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1992% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.3583%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.3583% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.