DINO · Expected-Move

HF Sinclair Corporation Common Stock (DINO) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$115.63

Expected move: $17.70
Expected move %: 15.3%
Lower boundary: $97.93
Upper boundary: $133.33
Median historical move: 2.8%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 3.5503%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 3.5503% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
3.5503%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.5503% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.3981%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.3981% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.8286%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.8286% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7394%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7394% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.414%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.414% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.9908%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.9908% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.1743%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.1743% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2239%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.2239% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.9163%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.9163% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.6302%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.6302% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.