GEO · Expected-Move

Geo Group Inc (The) REIT (GEO) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$29.94

Expected move: $5.35
Expected move %: 17.9%
Lower boundary: $24.59
Upper boundary: $35.29
Median historical move: 7.2%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-07Realized move 5.4749%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 5.4749% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
5.4749%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.4749% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.1206%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.1206% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.544%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.544% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.5339%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.5339% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.6279%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.6279% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.9135%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.9135% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.0428%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.0428% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.4551%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.4551% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.3284%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.3284% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.9084%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.9084% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
20.915%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.915% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0738%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0738% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.