IBM · Expected-Move

International Business Machines Corporation Common Stock (IBM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$220.51

Expected move: $17.83
Expected move %: 8.1%
Lower boundary: $202.69
Upper boundary: $238.34
Median historical move: 6.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-25Realized move 4.873%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 4.873% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.873%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.873% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.4866%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.4866% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.2509%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.2509% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.3256%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.3256% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.1697%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.1697% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.9642%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.9642% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.5789%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.5789% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.6238%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.6238% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.873%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.873% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.1265%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.1265% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.2506%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.2506% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.4277%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.4277% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.