MARA · Expected-Move

MARA Holdings, Inc. (MARA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$10.36

Expected move: $1.85
Expected move %: 17.9%
Lower boundary: $8.51
Upper boundary: $12.21
Median historical move: 5.3%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-08Realized move 7.9532%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 7.9532% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
7.9532%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.9532% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
16.5324%	Unavailable	Signed actual 16.5324% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.6718%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.6718% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.237%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.237% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.9913%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.9913% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.2415%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.2415% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.2869%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.2869% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.3612%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.3612% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.0686%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.0686% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.0037%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.0037% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2582%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2582% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.