MCD · Expected-Move

McDonald's Corporation Common Stock (MCD) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$230.88

Expected move: $12.83
Expected move %: 5.6%
Lower boundary: $218.06
Upper boundary: $243.71
Median historical move: 2.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

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2023-10-30Realized move 1.7165%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.7165% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.7165%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.7165% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.73%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.73% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1865%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1865% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.7381%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.7381% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.6031%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.6031% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.7978%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.7978% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.8802%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.8802% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.9755%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.9755% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.159%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.159% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7444%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7444% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1408%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1408% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.1725%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.1725% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.