MP · Expected-Move

MP Materials Corp. Common Stock (MP) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$46.31

Expected move: $6.21
Expected move %: 13.4%
Lower boundary: $40.10
Upper boundary: $52.52
Median historical move: 4.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 1.7943%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.7943% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.7943%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.7943% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.2146%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.2146% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4461%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4461% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.9085%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.9085% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.4024%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.4024% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.8318%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.8318% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.9665%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.9665% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.573%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.573% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.8008%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.8008% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.4591%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.4591% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.6227%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.6227% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.