MRNA · Expected-Move

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$196.48

Expected move: Unavailable
Expected move %: Unavailable
Lower boundary: Unavailable
Upper boundary: Unavailable
Median historical move: 6.0%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 6.5223%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.5223% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.5223%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.5223% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.5289%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.5289% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.6772%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.6772% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
21.0116%	Unavailable	Signed actual 21.0116% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.9531%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.9531% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.0446%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.0446% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2908%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2908% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.6137%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.6137% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.2683%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.2683% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.2855%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.2855% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.3522%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.3522% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.