MS · Expected-Move

Morgan Stanley Common Stock (MS) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$189.71

Expected move: $9.20
Expected move %: 4.8%
Lower boundary: $180.51
Upper boundary: $198.91
Median historical move: 4.1%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-10-18Realized move 6.7845%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 6.7845% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
6.7845%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.7845% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.1584%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.1584% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.6126%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.6126% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.9121%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.9121% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.4961%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.4961% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0291%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0291% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.445%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.445% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2713%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.2713% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.7058%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.7058% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.7805%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.7805% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.5162%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.5162% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.3865%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.3865% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

Next steps

Calculator

Run the numbers

Open the calculator that uses the same formulas as this page.

Open tool →Guide

Understand the strategy

Learn the risk, the payoff and the common mistakes.

Read guide →

Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.