NIO · Expected-Move

NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share (NIO) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$3.32

Expected move: $0.44
Expected move %: 13.1%
Lower boundary: $2.89
Upper boundary: $3.76
Median historical move: 4.3%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2018-11-06: Realized move: 4.1916% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 4.1916% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles

Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
4.1916%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.1916% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
21.1614%	Unavailable	Signed actual 21.1614% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.6269%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.6269% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
20.2206%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.2206% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
53.719%	Unavailable	Signed actual 53.719% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
16.2069%	Unavailable	Signed actual 16.2069% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.1535%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.1535% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.5855%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.5855% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.284%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.284% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.0024%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.0024% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.18%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.18% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4114%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4114% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.6821%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.6821% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
9.4177%	Unavailable	Signed actual 9.4177% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.6546%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.6546% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.1625%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.1625% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.7838%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.7838% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.9638%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.9638% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.7702%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.7702% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.1797%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.1797% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.5027%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.5027% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.8143%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.8143% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.8311%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.8311% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.3868%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.3868% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.4586%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.4586% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.1348%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.1348% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.3478%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.3478% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.1789%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.1789% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
4.0189%	Unavailable	Signed actual 4.0189% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.