NVAX · Expected-Move
Novavax, Inc. (NVAX) expected move
The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.
- Expected move
- $1.54
- Expected move %
- 14.7%
- Lower boundary
- $8.94
- Upper boundary
- $12.01
- Median historical move
- 6.4%
- Method
- ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2010-03-12: Realized move: 6.0484% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 6.0484% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0484% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.0484% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.6316% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2.6316% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.1152% | Unavailable | Signed actual 4.1152% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7167% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.7167% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.0064% | Unavailable | Signed actual 7.0064% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.6494% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.6494% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.2222% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2.2222% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.9479% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.9479% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.4335% | Unavailable | Signed actual 4.4335% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 8.4444% | Unavailable | Signed actual 8.4444% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.2308% | Unavailable | Signed actual 9.2308% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.0725% | Unavailable | Signed actual 5.0725% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.7382% | Unavailable | Signed actual 4.7382% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.8603% | Unavailable | Signed actual 7.8603% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.3899% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.3899% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7186% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.7186% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.3093% | Unavailable | Signed actual 4.3093% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 24.1287% | Unavailable | Signed actual 24.1287% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.25% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.25% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.431% | Unavailable | Signed actual 7.431% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.1841% | Unavailable | Signed actual 4.1841% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.7754% | Unavailable | Signed actual 9.7754% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.6471% | Unavailable | Signed actual 17.6471% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.362% | Unavailable | Signed actual 7.362% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 16.4384% | Unavailable | Signed actual 16.4384% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.0619% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2.0619% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.7857% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.7857% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.4354% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.4354% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.4327% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.4327% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 21.4876% | Unavailable | Signed actual 21.4876% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.599% | Unavailable | Signed actual 6.599% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.7692% | Unavailable | Signed actual 5.7692% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.3208% | Unavailable | Signed actual 11.3208% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.4113% | Unavailable | Signed actual 5.4113% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2% | Unavailable | Signed actual 2% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.608% | Unavailable | Signed actual 11.608% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 62.5306% | Unavailable | Signed actual 62.5306% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 16.2624% | Unavailable | Signed actual 16.2624% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 12.8114% | Unavailable | Signed actual 12.8114% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 14.2744% | Unavailable | Signed actual 14.2744% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 13.9065% | Unavailable | Signed actual 13.9065% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 19.6063% | 11.4941% | Signed actual 19.6063% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.2703% | 9.8873% | Signed actual 11.2703% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.4438% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.4438% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.1265% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.1265% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 29.6419% | Unavailable | Signed actual 29.6419% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.1908% | 22.2851% | Signed actual 5.1908% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 25.9179% | 14.9942% | Signed actual 25.9179% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 27.7852% | 23.3557% | Signed actual 27.7852% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.8564% | 18.883% | Signed actual 3.8564% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.3235% | 15.8088% | Signed actual 1.3235% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 26.7442% | 19.186% | Signed actual 26.7442% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 98.6577% | 11.4094% | Signed actual 98.6577% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.057% | 17.7871% | Signed actual 9.057% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 6.1043% | 19.8113% | Signed actual 6.1043% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.0921% | 15.8996% | Signed actual 2.0921% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.9328% | 15.4622% | Signed actual 11.9328% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 12.63% | 13.7444% | Signed actual 12.63% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.3004% | 13.5891% | Signed actual 1.3004% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 15.5556% | 11.1728% | Signed actual 15.5556% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.5195% | 10.3247% | Signed actual 0.5195% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable |
Next steps
Data provenance
Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.