PLTR · Expected-Move

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$194.12

Expected move: $25.23
Expected move %: 13.0%
Lower boundary: $168.90
Upper boundary: $219.35
Median historical move: 13.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

Select observation

Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-11-02Realized move 20.4424%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 20.4424% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
20.4424%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.4424% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
30.8014%	Unavailable	Signed actual 30.8014% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
15.1131%	Unavailable	Signed actual 15.1131% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.3778%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.3778% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
23.4726%	Unavailable	Signed actual 23.4726% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
23.9909%	Unavailable	Signed actual 23.9909% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.0465%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.0465% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.8489%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.8489% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
7.9351%	Unavailable	Signed actual 7.9351% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.8489%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.8489% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.9301%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.9301% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
29.4548%	Unavailable	Signed actual 29.4548% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.