PM · Expected-Move

Philip Morris International Inc Common Stock (PM) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$192.69

Expected move: $11.95
Expected move %: 6.2%
Lower boundary: $180.74
Upper boundary: $204.64
Median historical move: 3.8%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-10-19Realized move 2.6607%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 2.6607% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
2.6607%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.6607% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.6574%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.6574% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.8273%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.8273% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.1824%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.1824% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.4657%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.4657% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.9483%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.9483% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.4374%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.4374% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.4275%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.4275% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.8339%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.8339% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.9821%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.9821% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.3291%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.3291% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.