SMCI · Expected-Move

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$44.94

Expected move: $8.23
Expected move %: 18.3%
Lower boundary: $36.72
Upper boundary: $53.17
Median historical move: 13.8%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2023-11-01Realized move 2.5251%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 2.5251% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
2.5251%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.5251% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4902%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4902% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.0312%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.0312% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
20.1381%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.1381% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.7713%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.7713% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.3965%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.3965% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
18.285%	Unavailable	Signed actual 18.285% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.3291%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.3291% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.785%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.785% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
24.5419%	Unavailable	Signed actual 24.5419% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
19.019%	Unavailable	Signed actual 19.019% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.