SOFI · Expected-Move

SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$15.66

Expected move: $1.81
Expected move %: 11.5%
Lower boundary: $13.86
Upper boundary: $17.47
Median historical move: 6.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-10-30Realized move 1.0189%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 1.0189% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
1.0189%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.0189% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
20.21%	Unavailable	Signed actual 20.21% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.4828%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.4828% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.2278%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.2278% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.4343%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.4343% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
10.2679%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.2679% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
0.5303%	Unavailable	Signed actual 0.5303% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.5652%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.5652% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
5.5333%	Unavailable	Signed actual 5.5333% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
6.3629%	Unavailable	Signed actual 6.3629% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.1322%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.1322% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
8.9008%	Unavailable	Signed actual 8.9008% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.