SPCE · Expected-Move
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (SPCE) expected move
The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.
- Expected move
- $0.38
- Expected move %
- 13.7%
- Lower boundary
- $2.36
- Upper boundary
- $3.11
- Median historical move
- 6.6%
- Method
- ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT
Update time unavailable
Loading graph — the exact table is available below.
2019-03-18: Realized move: 0.0887% Implied move: Unavailable Signed actual 0.0887% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints Update time unavailable
Exact data table
Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
| Observation | Realized move (%) | Implied move (%) | Context | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0887% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.0887% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.0968% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.0968% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.0959% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.0959% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.9388% | Unavailable | Signed actual 1.9388% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 15.5405% | 24.9344% | Signed actual 15.5405% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.3117% | 17.1763% | Signed actual 11.3117% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 13.7386% | Unavailable | Signed actual 13.7386% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.7303% | 8.9296% | Signed actual 0.7303% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.8608% | 10.0282% | Signed actual 11.8608% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.9471% | Unavailable | Signed actual 0.9471% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.8357% | 7.8135% | Signed actual 5.8357% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 5.0779% | Unavailable | Signed actual 5.0779% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 3.4527% | Unavailable | Signed actual 3.4527% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.3333% | 11.6223% | Signed actual 9.3333% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.4603% | 10.6061% | Signed actual 17.4603% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.4236% | 13.9073% | Signed actual 7.4236% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 17.5958% | 14.6364% | Signed actual 17.5958% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.956% | 13.1127% | Signed actual 1.956% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.3478% | 14.7196% | Signed actual 4.3478% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 19.2308% | 16.3793% | Signed actual 19.2308% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 7.8947% | 20.5056% | Signed actual 7.8947% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 1.4851% | 18.4466% | Signed actual 1.4851% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 14.0417% | 18.7943% | Signed actual 14.0417% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 11.7978% | 13.6628% | Signed actual 11.7978% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 0.2604% | 14.0394% | Signed actual 0.2604% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 43.2836% | 11.6901% | Signed actual 43.2836% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 9.5238% | 16.792% | Signed actual 9.5238% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 10.8761% | 15.0552% | Signed actual 10.8761% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 2.4306% | 15.2778% | Signed actual 2.4306% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable | |
| 4.8485% | 15.6535% | Signed actual 4.8485% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints | Update time unavailable |
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Data provenance
Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.