SPCX · Expected-Move

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$167.60

Expected move: $18.68
Expected move %: 11.1%
Lower boundary: $148.93
Upper boundary: $186.28
Median historical move: 13.6%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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2026-08-04Realized move 13.6121%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 13.6121% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Observation	Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
	13.6121%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.6121% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.