SPOT · Expected-Move

Spotify Technology S.A. Ordinary Shares (SPOT) expected move

The priced move, its boundaries and how it compares with past earnings moves.

$512.92

Expected move: $53.80
Expected move %: 10.5%
Lower boundary: $459.12
Upper boundary: $566.72
Median historical move: 11.4%
Method: ATM_STRADDLE_MIDPOINT

Implied versus actual earnings moveAbsolute realized movement and stored implied move share one scale. Signed actual returns and reconstruction status are preserved in the readout/table. Missing quotes are not zero.

Update time unavailable

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Loading graph — the exact table is available below.

2023-10-24Realized move 10.3616%Implied move UnavailableSigned actual 10.3616% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpointsUpdate time unavailable

Exact data table

Implied versus actual earnings move · full stored dataset, independent of graph range/toggles
Realized move (%)	Implied move (%)	Context	Updated
10.3616%	Unavailable	Signed actual 10.3616% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.8835%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.8835% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.4127%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.4127% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.9614%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.9614% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.4404%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.4404% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
13.2385%	Unavailable	Signed actual 13.2385% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
3.4782%	Unavailable	Signed actual 3.4782% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
11.551%	Unavailable	Signed actual 11.551% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
2.2497%	Unavailable	Signed actual 2.2497% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
14.7479%	Unavailable	Signed actual 14.7479% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
12.4279%	Unavailable	Signed actual 12.4279% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable
1.6779%	Unavailable	Signed actual 1.6779% · Reconstruction status unavailable · 0 IV checkpoints	Update time unavailable

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Data provenance

Figures are from published, reviewed research as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT. Modelled option premiums use Black-Scholes with the published at-the-money implied volatility and are labelled as modelled, not as live quotes.